Japan has warned that a major earthquake striking the Tokyo metropolitan area could claim around 18,000 lives, according to a recent government disaster forecast. The projection highlights the serious risks the country continues to face despite its advanced preparedness systems.
Experts say the high death toll would mainly result from building collapses, fires, and infrastructure damage, especially in densely populated neighborhoods. Older wooden houses, narrow streets, and closely packed residential areas remain particularly vulnerable during strong quakes.
The forecast also notes that fires triggered after the quake could become a major threat, especially if the disaster occurs during winter or at night, when evacuation becomes more difficult. Power outages and disrupted transport systems could further slow rescue operations.
Japan sits on the Pacific Ring of Fire, making it one of the world’s most earthquake-prone countries. While Tokyo has strict building codes and regular disaster drills, officials stress that preparedness at the individual and community level is still crucial.
The government continues to urge residents to secure furniture, prepare emergency kits, and confirm evacuation routes. Authorities are also investing in disaster-resilient infrastructure and early warning systems to reduce casualties as much as possible.
This sobering forecast serves as a reminder that while earthquakes cannot be prevented, awareness, planning, and readiness can save lives.
Originally written by:BY YUKANA INOUE
STAFF WRITER
Link to the article: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/12/19/japan/japan-tokyo-major-quake-damages/
